Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003344 0.003733 0.004138 0.004591 0.005082 0.005598 0.006181
2024-10-20 0.002655 0.003188 0.003776 0.004469 0.005259 0.006129 0.007155
2024-10-27 0.002277 0.002887 0.003586 0.004441 0.005451 0.006598 0.007992
2024-11-03 0.001972 0.002622 0.003394 0.004369 0.005553 0.006935 0.008656
2024-11-10 0.001757 0.002438 0.003272 0.004355 0.005704 0.007313 0.009358
2024-11-17 0.001567 0.002264 0.003143 0.004312 0.005804 0.007620 0.009970
2024-11-24 0.001464 0.002190 0.003130 0.004408 0.006071 0.008128 0.010831
2024-12-01 0.001297 0.002016 0.002972 0.004303 0.006069 0.008293 0.011262
2024-12-08 0.001186 0.001909 0.002894 0.004294 0.006186 0.008605 0.011877
2024-12-15 0.001146 0.001898 0.002943 0.004454 0.006526 0.009207 0.012874
2024-12-22 0.001077 0.001839 0.002922 0.004514 0.006729 0.009634 0.013649
2024-12-29 0.001035 0.001816 0.002948 0.004637 0.007020 0.010178 0.014586
2025-01-05 0.000996 0.001798 0.002982 0.004778 0.007344 0.010783 0.015628
2025-01-12 0.000887 0.001662 0.002834 0.004649 0.007288 0.010873 0.015984
2025-01-19 0.000815 0.001577 0.002759 0.004621 0.007367 0.011145 0.016588
2025-01-26 0.000738 0.001480 0.002656 0.004546 0.007375 0.011316 0.017052
2025-02-02 0.000682 0.001413 0.002597 0.004531 0.007468 0.011603 0.017679
2025-02-09 0.000625 0.001339 0.002522 0.004488 0.007514 0.011823 0.018213
2025-02-16 0.000601 0.001323 0.002539 0.004587 0.007774 0.012350 0.019186
2025-02-23 0.000540 0.001232 0.002428 0.004478 0.007714 0.012415 0.019505
2025-03-02 0.000502 0.001182 0.002381 0.004469 0.007806 0.012699 0.020137
2025-03-09 0.000496 0.001193 0.002440 0.004634 0.008169 0.013386 0.021358
2025-03-16 0.000473 0.001170 0.002437 0.004696 0.008371 0.013838 0.022247